2007年11月24日星期六

Are you that that of the stock market can have no foam?

World the stock

Chinese the stock market has not actually wanted that American contact is so close, major problem general idea is that the very Chinese the stock market has the requirement of adjustment , add a series of policy of adjusting control again, the A site of the stock market at last if many persons is willing to fall.

Two months has not been new to send fund , but have not also blocked big plate , but forbid old fund continued camp pin recently , have broken bullet, this battle how to hit to win. And recently, it is recently low to open an account recently to make continuously, certainly, should adjust.

Bull market finish? Are many persons asking one after another? There is so rapid, before having the report that says Japanese the stock market to see top, market is a and optimistic , has not nearly seen empty sound , resembles Chinese the stock market there, not only, a lot of Chinese sees to decline , even a lot of foreigner also sees to decline. Wei nominal does not die , bull more than saying, if this many persons now see to leave empty , see top to just blame

The normal adjustment in one bull market

Recently, somebody writes a article, it feels that very good, our this market has foam really , treats foam that I have seen , what attitude should government adopt? It is to study Japanese, Taiwan active thorn to wear foam , brings the economic collapse of 10 some years , or studies America, substantiate foam constantly. Do you make the Chinese soft landing of the stock market? Answer is obvious. So, do you hope that our government is good to put long term point and tolerant point till hard-earned bull market and sight , is that that of the stock market can have no foam?

Little two bases quilt puncture, theoreticallyI come to guess that" this article, do I also feel

Have not finished if believing bull market, now really, it is the good opportunity of layout, Wei " tyro likes rise, past master likes to fall ", say is plenty of in adjustment good stock has very good intervention with price, seeing you know goods, do not know goods.

In Chinese petroleum, letter bond and ox bear

This week is to fall a

In this week, American the stock market appears to slump , includes the points more than 220 that are declining Friday , still do not know that produce what influence for the Hong Kong's share of Monday.

This week market of Hong Kong when the

In this week, the price of opening quotation of

In this week is known as big bull market

Chinese the stock market must be slumped one time, Chinese the stock market must also come one time share calamity, but the time of share calamity says not when at 6000 o'clock, general idea when at 20000 o'clock or at 50000 o'clock. Share calamity has come also do not be afraid of , not have immediately as rush tool?

This week very multiple want matter to do together, Sinopec appears on the market , fund forbids to last camp pin, American erupts according to continuity, America falls , the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line is postponed , certificate prison meeting Telephone notice fund sells do not buy. Share finger futures open floodgate, confidence collapses at last.

Spring river water warm duck prophet, the

Moreover Chinese petroleum, when before the idea of 19th enters index slump is actually a very good matter, is returning to to the very value originally for the price with unusual ten point, if my forecast has not been wrong , I foresee boldly here that Chinese petroleum meter is to coil to see day of base when index. Chinese petroleum is a very good company after all, hundreds of funds will be deploied after all , but the price of 48.6 Yuan has unusual ten point really, good thing should also have price just as.

Most extremely in is , letter bond slump to have no way of to explain, are you that big bear market begins? Is fund can not buy? Still little fly storehouse fear runs away? It is the latter to hope , if is the latter, so opportunity when is present.

If let me must do a choice in bear market and bull market, I hesitate still not to select the latter. Because of the foundation of bull market return when, because tendency strength is very powerful, because time incorrect, let the general public share the income of property because of wanting.

See you to

Bring the battle of handcuffs

Rebound is boundless, America slumps , adjusts on deposit capital reserve as well as share finger futures will soon put out , it is sensitive that strong tendency market leaves empty for doing good to empty numb, disadvantageous market for doing good to , market collapses at last, Shanghai index is declining once at two hundreds and eighty o'clock.

Appreciate the 10000 departments of Shenzhen, thanks in Shanghai letter bond, is because of them substantially rebound, have just pulled big plate from the edge of collapse to return. Minimum dozen when at 5032 o'clock, with September 12 at 5025 o'clock, it also has to form the situation of two bases.

Really, big plate falls a little excessive, one breath

We know that there is a what file etc. recently , restrict fund continued camp pin, it is hoped that not only, first hair has no , even continued camp pin also gets influence. And still have more not understanding is , allegedly fund has bought stock, a Telephone sends warning in the past , fund manager has lived in trick just like bundle.

Perhaps is management level have no way out , perhaps, it is market means ineffectiveness, but in any case, the means of this kind of administrativeness can not last absolutely, you use the means of marketization, no matter how to do , possible market can accept , as you may will capital reserve goes up tune goes to 20% is even higher, it is even higher that you may add interest rate to 10%? Only you dare. But can not solve problem with these administrative means absolutely.

In letter bond afternoon and morning two shapes? General idea falls , have too big , have fund do not hear Telephone to advise adopt action first, can you be also how about? If company's real value so many money, should buy certainly just as. Perhaps, it is many to fall , Telephone have no cause.

Big plate is analysed from technical surface, is

Perhaps, can not kill excessively to fall , but at 5000 o'clock, can you guard , still see whether rebound has quantity , still see that fund is tight and not tense? Still seeing to have Telephone advise?

Additionally American the stock market after all is real bear still false bear is also important. Originally strong tendency market, that pipe your America not America? But isn't now quite the same? Is disadvantageous market empty and very sensitive for what advantage? If this evening America slumps? Hong Kong can still exaggerate so Ma? Hong Kong one exaggeration? Does A share necessity get burden? Do you pity QD? This few days the destruction of whole army?

Have to praise a base people

Today, the National Bureau of Statistics announces October economic data, CPI reaches 6.5% again, market expected add interest rate is unavoidable , is on weekend perhaps , rebound quotations dies young.

It is the problems such as fund publishing and camp pin that the factor of original quotations adjustment still has besides rising the normal adjustment with too big , morning one sees Finance news, discovery A share slump to make management level begin to untie , again may Che minute fund , may again last camp pin , market goes high open high, but CPI announce discovery market last stop fall is far not so simple.

Rebound is boundless, hot and not hot. No collar rises board piece as well as after add interest rate, the breath bad receipt of bank share is narrow to worry , cause bank share massive return tune, so rebound Ga however stop.

General idea is that the range of adjustment is not enough , if the real adjustment of range arrives at 5000 o'clock already enough words, the time of adjustment obvious serious deficiency, want not must change space with time.

So, refering to the market expression of

In fact, after per ship quotations process, slumping having focus point take turns law, just like the financial real estate that work behavior represents on January 4 , return tune to announce the overall prominent emergence of low-priced share , 5.30 slumps to announce the beginning of rubbish share death , blue chips trend the center center of Chinese bond historical stage. This ship quotations fluctuate substantially, can you announce what? Will you announce that blue chips finish? Will you announce that low-priced share is again active?

See not clear, perhaps low-priced share really to have the opportunity , perhaps, blue chips will be adjusted , but when low-priced share has 5.30, there are probably still the opportunity of those few groups. But it surely has certain opportunity, however, the opportunity of blue chips will not be retreated , major reason is decided by current fund nature , is now that base people buies fund, fund buies blue chip. Blue chip will be been by death, is nearly impossible the problem of realization.

Say that base people has to praise one, as soon as originally, market falls , base people redeems to return , do fund must sell stock, this time, market slumps , seldom hearing unexpectedly to redeem massively have returned sound, seems Chinese common people have ripened , a lot of persons understand that the investment of fund is a long process, base people does price difference. Often fall into low sell is those educations of the educational person that is opinionated high catch up Jiong land, so, market education is just best and educational , needs there.

Share finger futures want bosom two fetus not to come

Today, what Shanghai the stock market

The focus point of market is intense switch, blue chips appearance massive return tune, and exceeding fall to share, low-priced share etc. arise massive rising, it is in little board index to rise the possibility with the best.

Ship rise is the law of the 鎵€鏈?necessity of the stock market, rise suddenly just like the financial real estate of second half of last year, low-priced share can't be , after January, blue chip can't be , low-priced share has fallen out , is few to fall out , after 530, low-priced share appears to slump , the most by the waist, but blue chips appear to turn quotations.

Actually the adjustment of blue chips, low-priced

Fund nature decision quotations nature, now after all is public imitate fund to take the times of absolute leading position , they can reduce perhaps, hold blue chips, but are they impossible to make smooth blue chips absolutely , can again buy what because they have sold blue chips?

As they unavoidable will buy back blue chip still, so, blue chip is impossible to adjust deeply as low-priced share absolutely, and the lesson of low-priced share has deep error too, low-priced share buy home again strength is limited, so, low-priced share may have quotations, but it may be understood that being impossible have the quotations before 5.30.

So, do exceed to fall share, the rebound of low-priced share also may, but blue chips return tune the only low good opportunity inhaled. This is the matter that will not be wrong forever , and does the rebound of low-priced share , is low-priced share quotations if wanting to emit biggest risk, also is one dies young quotations.

The share of real estate slump and lately not add interest rate relevant? And Hong tune relevant? It is relevant that somebody still says that goes bankrupt with " in Tian put field "? Really, it is perplexed, but the share tap of real estate slump is also opportunity perhaps?

Point at futures as to share have again raised climax, day,

Must can not come

The matter of good end, quilt these

Looking back to see at 3400 o'clock guard at 5000 o'clock, do not guard

Today, do you fill pessimistic mood in market? Do not go to 1E+11 close the business have aggravated this kind of pessimism stretch , at 5000 o'clock, do you guard? Various opinions. Ask some persons today, including some fund managers , have to say that 4500 has to say 4800 , certainly, somebody also thinks that guards at 5000 o'clock , but one of my old colleague is now the personal friend that imitates to say go to that is that I meet biggest gall bladder at 3000 o'clock, most rich one of imagination foresees.

In fact, are needs these to foresee? Do you do not need? Because it is unreliable to have forecast, even if have foreseen that you can not also go to carry out basically, as if I foresee at the beginning of September that in this year, quotations finishes at 6000 o'clock, time should be November in October is the same, now, seems foresee that allow disastrous , but have no how many meanings still for realistic operation.

But we will foresee still, forecast this

I before today describes rich guest, return have seen one to take off me June the rich guest that writes until August, discovering at that time also is as at 3400 o'clock view diverge very much, the time until the beginning of July, also have only hundreds of 100000000s close the business , up to 10 July few numbers, concerning a very close organization with me still say that have very strong support at 2800 one. The big plate of July 25 breaks through at 4300 o'clock. The most of organizations see mistake.

At that time I in rich guest relapse mentions have seen base at 3400 o'clock. Why? Actually, reason is not complex , though low-priced share is slumping , but the appearances such as bank share rise in turn, they do not be declining , why can big plate fall deeply? Write a article at that time "Financial share rises" so simple reason

But adjust this time at 5000 o'clock after all how to, break at 5000 o'clock is decided by what? Than 5.30, that some complex but a plate of rises fall or should be decided by big stock, low-priced share already by the waist rear beginning rebound in , letter bond has fallen 24 Yuan , China Merchants Bank has fallen 8 Yuan , they can still fall amount coils whether stand firm at 5000 o'clock barrier bond; Key has taken the 23% of Shanghai composite index, especially Sinopec, its rise falls may decide basically at 5000 o'clock gain and loss, so in, if letter bond is declining again to 80, if Sinopec falls to wear 35 Yuan , enters the words of the space of 30 to 35 Yuan, so guard at 5000 o'clock do not live.

Can Sinopec fall to wear 35? Biggest advantage leaves empty is American recession and according to storm have sunk to sink? Biggest advantage has risen 3 U.S. dollars well in price yesterday that is petroleum , reaches 98. My trend is that 35 Yuan can not break , can be guarded at 5000 o'clock, even if guard do not live , can not also break amount.

Perhaps is buttocks decision

Actually, Chinese the stock market is returned in the morning well, receiving Hong Kong's share in the afternoon slump burden just collapse , haven't you been so fearful? Pitiful the stock market of Hong Kong is not only influenced by A share and beautiful share, today, Japanese the stock market and Yen set breath have also hit it , America has not fallen yesterday, does this market take dry what? Have better to close calculate.

Slump that time after not is everywhere gold?

Have fallen at 5000 o'clock, market today

Why is so and strong, now, analysis reason general idea has the following: It is too big that one rises , 2 is peripheral the stock market slumps , American economy is put slowly, 3 is because macro-control accelerates , building city cools down seriously, 4 is supply increase , sends big plate share constantly, and not only, reduction demand and certificate prison can directly disturb the operation of fund manager unexpectedly , and still do not send new fund, forbid to come fund continued camp pin. 5 is to throw trip abroad to start a rumor everywhere. Market confidence collapses at last. It is gone to that 6 is low for Chinese petroleum 48 Yuan to drive high, have implicated big plate seriously.

I seems see wrong market, I think that have ascertained bottom at 5000 o'clock , but am having added condition at 5000 o'clock in my rich guest to guard at the back, this condition is Chinese petroleum can guard the low point of early stage. Additionally, possibility is the instinct of person, see many throughout so as ox soon city, seeing empty person throughout so as bear soon city can not recover , I am person , can not probably also get rid of this fatality. And I still foretell , even if fall to break can not also break amount? This is typical buttocks decision head.

, what to be done? The person of full storehouse rubbish must Feng reduce lb high to seek opportunity the high quality share of changing , the National People's Congress of full storehouse blue chip general only guard storehouse , the National People's Congress that has fund general may fall the more to buy the more, have no necessity to kill excessively to fall.

Each general idea I when recall Peter Lin Qi to deal with slump 3 methods, one is that rebound reduces storehouse, 2 is to dare to hold high quality share, in 3 is declining dare is low to inhale high quality share, actually, the suggestion on me is the suggestion of odd Peter forest , has no new thing.

Market has not seen base seemingly really. Is market now a and frightened? A lot of person just like frightened person? Want to run for life only, have not thought of to slump rear opportunity comes , that time, it is not so to slump after, slump that time not is everywhere gold? This actually again is buttocks decision head?

Will ask why? It is to circulate because now, we are going through the most great super bull market in Chinese bond history. Now in day, today, we are going through the normal, essential adjustment in the most great super big cycle of bull market in Chinese bond history. As this just.

I perhaps have been wrong , but certain is short line

Sinopec, share finger futures decide perhaps at 5000 o'clock gain and loss

The A site of the stock market more and more follows

Technical surface has not seen to stop to fall signal, eventually, big plate falls till what place , is to can not understand really. But big a plate of adjustment range is certain, is concerning two things, one is Sinopec what place sees base? One is share finger futures put out time?

Sinopec has taken the 23% of Shanghai composite index, can say for a plate of influence is very remarkable, can say preceding few weeks slump have very close contact excessively high open with Sinopec, after suming into index, Sinopec is declining from 38.82 Yuan to 34.59 Yuan , is declining to exceed 10% , its a company implicates Shanghai composite index is declining to exceed at one hundred and twenty o'clock. If it falls more than, big plate can not stop fall , if it rises , a plate of possibility that is declining is very little, moreover Sinopec is though the Asian company that most makes money , but according to many researches, report is seen , this firm coming 3 years complex growth rates has only 10%, though, it is good company , is not definitely good stock, Sinopec whether stop fall measure big plate whether stop most important one that falls index.

The factor that falls till second big plate is share finger futures put out time to be related closely, on April 27 of this year, I have written share to point at futures , put out a article for that stock is major advantage well, paste again, do you see that there is reason to have no?

Reason

Now, many funds dare not enter the stock market, hit new share only, why? Risk is also that you buy into any kind, your money horse goes up bare in risk, this is that big fund dare not enter the stock market and can only hit the prime cause of new share, but share finger futures put out , all these will become historical , right now, we can expect share surely to point at the non reason of futures , only non rational futures price, cause plenty of a huge sum of funds to march into the arena arbitrage, the assumption fund original possibility of 100000000 Yuan is to hit new share, now, this possible 90000000 of 100000000 Yuan enters the stock market to buy on-hand stock , 10000000 enters share to point at futures throw empty index, so, this fund gets very probably in a quarter to exceed , is 10% of to have no risk profit, must pay attention , current big fund march into the arena have no risk at all, such a huge sum have no risk profit will cause unimaginable big fund to enter this stock spot market , this market will have to rise.

Not know explanation

The 2007-10 - 29 analysis time relation of securities market is simple to analyse + recommendation

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Also have no time today to see that closing but last Friday is very clear as having said , Monday rebound. With all, have said that do bank and real estate continuously, steel whole are born. From the tendency of Monday, see that bank and morning of real estate go to winner , but rise because of succession, but in the afternoon, tendency is slightly unstable, bank is not bad, and the short period of real estate may arise 1 or 2 little overcasts. It is shining that steel begins whole in afternoon, individual thinks that short period may be still continued upward.

From a plate of location, rebound has no problem,5434, coil5462Have begun rebound ,5462Is low and some,5800, once forming6155, it does not be willing

From risk index, today, have entered the risk district of advance warning, the continued rising of tomorrow will make big plate enter risk Gao Wei. Therefore have been improper for and then caught up in large quantities tomorrow to enter.

We may guess the focus point of tomorrow first, after finance, real estate and steel, it should be who? If you guess , it is too stupid to not come out. Metal and Coal , former not is always so go to? Coal which is puting supernatural fire above everything else and the metal headed by Shandong gold should show tomorrow. Have certainlyThe Chinese capital( group) head office< p>< p/>

Time relation writes these , though Monday, rebound still estimates Tuesday that is rebound, but many each share tendencies are not ideal , the possibility of the adjustment of short period has not been canceled yet, some of so many tickets should still have to be declining space, is careful.

Wuhan new

The 2007-10 - 30 analysis of securities market would not low head in wilderness

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Tuesday, rising is also to mind5800, so want6155Have marched. This high point should not be to lead layer

Come to see first that

1^The forest of good fortune: Comment on: This is that the5.30.< p>< p/>

2^Center trip30Day is"2007Tsinghua"Name,5In year, the condition of economic growth Comment on: At some time, person will feel that center trip president says that it is some to be still in charge of seemingly than the lead of bond to use. So this is this month he says risk for the first time.< p>< p/>

3, is brewing aimed at Chinese International Airline, south navigation and 3 eastern navigation big airline companies is new round of to take over the hearsay of reshuffle, director of CAAC Yang Yuan is first10Month29Declare"My individual disagrees that 3 big" Comment on: Remember that I have said that" old big China" will surely become bigger in terms of both size and influence , so, aerial kind of the following reshuffle is inevitable, must not had been fooled in a few words. From this, all still have the problem that development goes to think for example Car, can do big one?

4, Department of Commerce: Comment on: It is inevitable matter that price17Have said that end of the year is intervened however , this has reserved space to price rising. The rising of international grain price, have also played the part of influence for Chinese domestic price.

5^Many nation-wide provinces not arise the wasteland of diesel oil with degree, land place Henan of Central Plains also does not allow optimism. According to the tense supply of diesel oil, Chinese petroleum chemical engineering Henan petroleum branch puts out counter-measure yesterday urgently , guarantees to supply on the one hand , guarantees to normalize operation on the other hand. Comment on: One has not risen in price massively, this is to reserve a means given the stock market. Now, Sinopec will come out , leading need market to go down , so really after going down , also do not want to see if adjusting , is regulated by whom? It is simple, as soon as price rises , Sinopec China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation gets up , index gets up oh.< p>< p/>

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Yesterday, guess meeting is in Coal and metal goes up , but the hot quilt of today is aerial to have snatched to go , and rises to stop a lot, it is not rumors that though, lead says that more combined more possible comparison is little, but I believe. From the risk index of index, it is very strange, today has no change, and have not entered absolute risk district , maintain risk district still. So, seem that the rising of Wednesday is still may in order to stay.< p>< p/>

Is discovery pitied? We now seems in one day of one day see that the rise of tomorrow falls , this explains a problem: Altitude is tense. Under such atmosphere, actually, it is very unstable, once begining to be declining , can arise plenty of frightened plates. In the rebound of today, the super share that falls is compared , and the former elephants who drive rising for two days begin to have stoped step , today, old aircraft carrier is other except Baoshan iron and steel plant600050^600028^600900Show good , also< p>< p/>

From each share, I believe that the old aircraft carrier that says above may still rise continuously, however for majority share, the necessity of having not already caught up. Big can not, management level does not supply , we may wait6200Catch< p>< p/>

Fund main force should be thought of continuously upward , but is now the problem that leading layer wants to consider , this is once rich Yi contest. Hope that the stock market rises , but will low head, short period is still to see policy.< p>< p/>

Hand itch, it must600028Or600900I say that< p>< p/>

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Wuhan In week,< p>< p/>

The 2007-11 - 1 analysis of securities market ask monarch examination to ask eastern running water

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Index has6000Point has thenKDJGo up have caused one to deviate from. Petroleum has become the most shining profession certainly, Chemical fiber and steel fall can't seek north. Think formerly petrol price will put to go to use on back adjustment market index, have not thought that now is had , adjust oil price at this time is really that certain role has no for promoting index.

Market is hard to more and more polish for us, this

1^11Month1Day takes petrol,500It is first, happeningCPIGo0.05%. Comment on: The National93#Petrol5.34It/Liter does2It is first. General95U.S. dollar , want the feelings of major event of not this nation-wide people, complete may again etc.. Until Sinopec arrives market, waiting for index fall do not let one glad, increase then by China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation with Sinopec two drive market rebound, aren't you better tool?CPIIncrease is inevitable , is mysterious

2, allow off year: Market Comment on: Are you interesting? ?It is not that I say these we economists, for China economy is not good forecast suggest reasonably, and always add fuel to the flames , dangerous speech towers to hear. The lead of Zhou Xiaochuan says that prevents financial crisis, economist says that has now exceeded Japan and foam peak-hour. Before linking my this one for two years, have foreseen the person of financial crisis , when tell all that China is not that the Thailand of same year is also not Brazil of same year, it is not easy matter to want to do to step us. As a finance, study home, it is such frightened to make contribution and manufacture for the steady development of Chinese economy more, have you what meaning? Whom gives you bonus.

3, when market fund surface improves , the center ticket interest rate of 3 issue that publishes in near future is raised on all fronts, make market have aggravated is all right for center again the expectation of add interest rate. Comment on: Liter breath is the matter thatCPIIncrease.11Month

4, American31Day is decided , will federal0.25Percentage4.50%, to meet the recession Comment on: Say that this has been the beginning2-3Year. America lowers interest , will surely make the storage fund of America in bank have no stand , to know that now, American has become Chinese heat for the investment of China, the American Chinese capital of flow direction will be larger , the investment of China will be hotterCPIIt will be higher , foam will be larger.< p>< p/>

It is still that sentence words, China is not2008Can occur. All need not worry< p>< p/>

From a minute of6004Point is declining to belong5988Is declining to10:43Besides rebound belong to technology to buy plate , other is that private investor buies plate completely. This explains current market go up organization is careful on the contrary more than all is prudent.< p>< p/>

Give all on weekend the600720Already600802Also begin falling. The week line of last< p>< p/>

Today11Month, behind estimated in4100000000 many incomes are the service charge3866After counting , management level can not< p>< p/>

Profession goes up see , petroleum600069Cloud day8.62%Tomorrow should be still reluctant< p>< p/>

Observe600478,Foam nickel profession will not publish 45000000 new shares openly , will get larger increase space along with the again and again urgent power battery of the non-renewable energies such as Coal and petroleum with foam nickel.< p>< p/>

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2007-11 - 5 also has no time today , is so simple to say

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Sinopec48The index of having caused today market is declining , and the process that this one is declining is estimated to at least maintain a important support location that early stage gives all forecast one day , do not know to remember not5434As , it is

The Cement profession of very best weekend introduction shows good last week, Monday partial rises return may, but whole are not good. However, it is also not very far to believe to take over to be away from us. So from Cement as soon as excavating , possibility is still to be able to find gold.

Today, a little board piece enters eyeball , isSTItAMay also enter

The real estate of short0002And600048Can go through the short period of few days to be declining. Financial share because of the share of securities trader is declining , make board piece take off stroke, the estimated share of securities trader still has to be declining space, the space of bank safe share is not large. Recently, the steel today rebound that is declining continuously suggests to do not intervene hurriedly, after all, the negotiation of the stone of iron mine will have result. Car board piece start , have embodied the old saying of Chinese shareholder fully: Advantage is empty to be full of advantage well. It is expected that short period still has rising space.

FromKLine is seen , tomorrow5434Will seems arrive still , will arise massive technology here if breaking to throw plate , each share loss is larger. Hope to do not break. Index futures soon, all storehouse position can only control when40%Following,

2007-11 - 7 securities market analyses in disorder my heart person, day of today tired worry

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Today early plate though5469, distance the5434, deviation35Count0.69%, soon afterwards, begin rebound , is still red eventually. The market index that has changed yesterday falls each share rise, discover after bonus is a plate of to be declining domestic number is more than to rise. So here is not is final bottom?

1^ Safe group andQDII, is allowed to invest2006The total asset of year end2201000000009.6100000000 Comment on: This is tip of the iceberg, what all see is that financial group make investment outward, and actual meaning is the control of management level for risk, and for the guide of fund direction.< p>< p/>

2^ Rubing rootPE/GThis estimate value method relatively CommentPEWith my precedingPEMay is not aPEIt is< p>< p/>

3^ Chinese center trip president Zhou Xiaochuan shows yesterday in Shanghai, It is expected that until end of the year, an expert on China expands , can have alleviation, center trip will not adopt before being this is new to reduce measure, may not very tighten up monetary policy greatly. Comment on: Has inflation alleviation? This is a message that I see today and am not most understood. Put on only in those years the time that dragon is president , have appeared in him to say not the 4th day after add interest rate suddenly add interest rate time.< p>< p/>

4^ National5Day sends notice again, ask large scale grease enterprise to increase edible oil production , guarantee that market supplies , stabilize market price , at the same time warn edible oil production to manage enterprise reinforced self-discipline and reasonable price , strictly forbid price illegal behavior. Comment on: Actually,10Month9MonthCPITime, say falling,10Month general10Month futures price10MonthCPIVery may rebound. Actually, happening< p>< p/>

5^ Yesterday, center851000000001Annual34010000000028Day is counter-purchasing19.35Basic point, and counter-purchasing35A basic point Comment on: Convention< p>< p/>

Market focus point seemingly again has got direction , is concentrated on Coal can not however regard as to fall out turn to see. I have said, the market main force of back may change temporarily somewhat strategy, it is the speculation of suspension index share , and turns to the excellent share in non index. Because so long as index does not rise , management level will not at least feel unwell too on psychology.< p>< p/>

Rebound allKDJ, and11Month1Day isKDJGo up have appeared to deviate from ,KLine, can14.:41Afterwards, begin to have to snatch a plate of intervention , conclude quantity to finally a minute of time to be even higher than opening quotation. Somebody also proves to snatch plate. This is said by me5434So long as geting support< p>< p/>

For remembering a matter160It is many , discovers180It is many,201.73. Hope to have person can< p>< p/>

See from the wind directionCPIRising, I think that can continueNational grain oil07Produce per year quantity to dropCPIHave risen , can not< p>< p/>

So now play rebound return may, build15%Is declining , are you all right? From< p>< p/>

Meet the continued rebound< p>< p/>

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The 2007-11 - 12 analysis of securities market green Ming vast do not see base

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Index is declining again, what another person is surprised is that with Thursday and Friday than, it is too many as falling that frightened plate has not already been so enough , short period has thrown sheet deficiency. At the same time, base position snatches a plate of sign is also obvious, concluding quantity is not as good as Thursday and Friday, this lets me feel to a little hesitate, actually Thursday the low position of Friday snatches plate is the behavior of private investor? Do you say still that fund also stops hand here? My individual thinks that what the first kind of possibility is weekend relatively to snatch plate is not organization , is ordinary investor.

We come first to see message

1^ People's10Day is announced11Month26Day , goItThe organization0.5PercentageThe deposit rate13.5%, have1987Unify the historical Comment on: Actually, the such altitude of capital reserve is to restrain mobility however, and what produce major role really for market want to see add interest rate still. The purpose of control mobility is to strike investment overheat, I have said with all that the economy that wants China does not pass fierce development , has two methods, one is to reduce foreign trade, one has investment decreasing. However our foreign trade depends on to pass is big, reduce foreign trade may make many enterprises go bankrupt , so, can only reduce investment, now biggest investment when bond and real estate. Real estate already many policies , so, firepower will be concentrated on bond. Back two months, management level will revolve around to cool down to spread out policy.< p>< p/>

2^ In golden vice-general manager Comment on: Index futures now sees that distance is not far. Many persons fear index futures , after I also say too big a plate of fast rising before, put out index futures, meeting produces negative influence for market. But now, the stock market is being declining considerably! In the process that is declining fast if put out index futures, I do not say that you have known that will become to promote index rebound and rising. If real is when4800Point is put out , so,

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Recently, other messages are10Month12Day begins to leave emptyHan ZhiAThe site of the stock market shows desolate, the stock market existence Beng a plate of danger " I think that will not appear temporarily. The well bad and economic development direction of the stock market can not part , is to have increased imagination space only , can deviate orbit. China now has no fast slippery sign that falls , has not also arisen the sign of collapse, so, the stock market still has support foundation. As to the leak on economy, it has a periodicity outbreak , and is now not the budget issue of outbreak( see the forecast of preceding rich guest), so excessive pessimistic have no necessity.< p>< p/>

Now, index4814Calculation support location, it may resistQFIIEntering2004End2005In year and at this time, it is the most terrible time of Chinese the stock market, then the fat first big ear that foreigner earns. Current U.S. dollar is declining , just, force plenty of foreign assets to ChinaQFIIAuthorized volume degree alsoBShareHShareAShare, completely is foreigner earns usQFIIEventually, eat full belly< p>< p/>

So when4814I plan to begin to do rebound, and goal is the most interesting state-owned enterprise a plate of share that now falls , these are mainstays. Focal point still when finance and real estate goes up , finance is the foundation of development, real estate is the foam of development.< p>< p/>

For the current problem of many persons: " I will cut meat. " my reply is: Have no necessity. Preceding let you little the time of compensating department , you do not happen , insist to have etc. have stood a loss50%Do you happen again?300Count. Now, it can only be very hot for dead600176, 3 preceding very pretty< p>< p/>

Recently, what rise is that3G, communication. Can these be gone to for a long< p>< p/>

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In week,< p>< p/>

I has gone to country golden bond

I has gone to country golden bond, Beijing wealth

2007-11 - 14 analysis one of securities market night flies to cross mirror lake month

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Rebound has person to say that is because the American big rebound of the stock market has person to say that because Hong Kong jumps to leave empty big rebound , somebody says that so-and-so orders fund to begin to build storehouse , no matter say what , at least rebound. After a cross star, the probability of rebound is still good, and steel has been can't restrain , for instance600019. After all, a600019Short30%.< p>< p/>

So, I think that more person is thinking , actually,< p>< p/>

1^ Zhou Xiaochuan: Know steadily Comment on: May see today to conclude quantity though little have to magnify , but do not go to comfortable feeling. I think of major reason in leading speech. Does negative interest rate how to be come out? Is becauseCPIRising speed have exceeded interest, have caused depositCPI, 2 is add11The futures price of month comesCPIIt is seems not very easy,< p>< p/>

2^ 10Month70Big-middle city9.5%,BeijingMonth room.< p>< p/>

Comment on: I have said, market thinks of rebound we still do finance and real estate surely, at the Chinese economic time that has not gone to decline , foundation is financial, foam is real estate, it is the same that elephant drinks beer, it is water or soak should not, must two have just development is good. So at the time that economy has not declined , real estate will surely rise continuously.< p>< p/>

3^ Shanghai price department sends notice recently , adjusts the pin price shelf of natural gas of the users such as industry. In which turn to use natural gas increase the price by range is biggest, reach66%. Comment on: Petroleum has risen , so, the energy that can replace a little needs the process of adjusting on a price , want to even rise corn, it does not be risen that natural gas has no reason. Please seek the stock of this reverse side, for instance, are you broad to remit?< p>< p/>

4^ For American3Cover"Patriot2"Antimissile equipment promotes system, Chinese Comment on: When this matter comes out afterwards,< p>< p/>

Copper aluminium is good suddenly, management level has issued the file administered for aluminium field, this is that one does good to for aluminium, at the same time let colored Men have seen hope. Early stage always lets one hold to lose601808^601088^601857Until having arisen rebound< p>< p/>

We come first to see the rebound11The rebound beginning from point is not the behavior of organization seemingly , organization after opening quotation little have movement, and resembling the general idea of organization behavior really is when14:40Separate beginning. So know why today conclude quantity< p>< p/>

Do we how to come to face such quotations? First on policy, still possible favorable empty, so our heart has worry, secondly so, we can not also miss good rebound quotations completely. So, we should seek reliable share in rebound , may short line can grow receipt again. For instance: Bank of China and the industrial and commercial bank in bank in, real estate protect sharp real estate and 10000 departmentsAEtc.. It is that funds control plate relatively highly to have again, for instance: Chinese Chinese International Airline and 81 steels. Such stock is for us , go in afterwards if market appearance again adjustment, is also simply4814Point and adjustment can not be also adjusted somewhat. Only market rebound, these stocks are still the kind of main force after all, fund , personal raise etc. large scale computer Gou will not give up them.< p>< p/>

Current market can not remove again downwardQDIIHave begun to increase volume degree, the time< p>< p/>

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In week,< p>< p/>

The forest on the 2007-11 - 19 analysis of securities market numerous flower shines eye is new

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700Domestic100Home is decliningIt is too big that Sinopec today idea seems this role of deciding sea supernatural needle into each big index, a person is declining may shield have rising, the rising of or a person may shield have is declining , index has had got the feeling of serious distortion. So in such market, how to should we face? After seeing message first, come again to discuss.< p>< p/>

1^ Zhou11Month18Day is expressed , he is all right for Comment on: This expression seemingly explains that interest rate need not be added temporarily, however, I see , is concerning the expression of market. We of early stage have analysed, now if index does not rise , management level now seems basically satisfactorily, that all comprehend this purpose relatively, index share falls , non index share rises , problem is solved. This state can keep , add interest rate may wait.< p>< p/>

2^ Zhou19Day is expressed , Chinese center passes Comment on: What this trick is most important is that restrict mobility, looking eat benefit. However, want to be also , if each matter raises interest rate always, why may the house loan of many persons be changed? Say that is income increase14%, the person of around one has not< p>< p/>

3^ Century member secretary"It is first"Go up expression, support high quality asset Comment on: This is to become bigger in terms of both size and influence , should say that is partial stock companies to become internationalization, these company's campaigns of more wide needs space, then can contend with with international rank company. I am to say , am not only to order pattern on scale, with the current administration of state-owned enterprise, I see to produce the biggest company's point of some worlds , is not difficult , problem is managing ability. But this is to have got the opinion of international rank after all , has this opinion , has our opportunity on the stock market.< p>< p/>

Does the person of a pile see that the profession of environment protection has risen today , has thought? Preceding just say that will levy the what tax of what environment, so, this is the business of the profession of environment protection. Who environment does is not good , who pollutes , is big, who will be competed tax , has better to still do the project of environment protection. For environment protection, I believe do not come for a long time one bright spot, and see that environment protection does not be confined , many environment protections has new energy revive or create. This is also the bright spot of a profit.< p>< p/>

Early stage says with all that main force is very possible to give up or suspend index share , and turns to non index share, purpose is the support measure of management level , does not raise index, and the price of share is insignificant actually, rise Heaven household also no matter.< p>< p/>

We may now see that some board pieces may participate , one is weaving, one is war industry. But what this two board pieces will pay attention is that divergence will be compared. Weaving rises because of cancel coordination, war industry is because capital is poured into and rises. Is but not that entire board piece may be benefited , after it is momentary to rise , many companies that have not been benefited can not realize long-term rising still. Whether have powerful connections to sustain , all are nearly impossible to again grasp. The most simple method is to see that main force and the shareholder research in the breath of open letter are tracked , why600689Shanghai 3 hair recent ox? Should think first< p>< p/>

On message, we are scattered peoples, believe that6Month30Day9Month30The shareholder of day makes statistics of data, I say that am very useful, because this duration has not good market. If see a lot from the calculation of price, each share that increases storehouse should say that is quilt cover. These organizations are given in vain in, big bull market has covered want to turn over to be easy very much for them. Big fund quilt cover , do we go in again , are not the matter of a happiness? They do not happen , we also do not happen , not letter he can so accept to fall , after all now, it is bull market.< p>< p/>

That day says60058181 steels and reasons are also so, see that shareholder studies to realize suddenly. Today is seemed , this choice short period is also correct. Weekend I strive for to all to list somewhat worth-while attention increase the stock of storehouse, let refer to.< p>< p/>

In week,< p>< p/>

The 2007-11 - 20 9 young ringing phoenixes of securities market disorder Jiu Jiu

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Chinese petroleum still falls , simply is angry person flax, it has no advantage that big a plate of index short period looks , see that share general idea is more better and more than seeing index. A share has begun today, is very active, at the same time seeing collar the board piece that falls jumps out basically, begin rebound , for instance steel and bank. Preceding we say that market has begun to change to do a plate of train of thought , all will also change train of thought , preceding we always see index share to be showy alone, now we more want attention is the rebound of high quality stock, instead of the participation of index share.

1^ Zhou Xiaochuan expresses that the center"In not do long-term". He expresses that center2008Year will not Comment on: This is the most comfortable news of hearing today perhaps, worry about add interest rate every day, now has said next week will not, have no risk for two weeks. Leting us temporary do not insist , is angry, but can not rise index still high.< p>< p/>

2^ Chinese Premier19, on day here from 3, haveTo preventFoam, and mention once foamIt. Comment on: Have seen , now denote to do not want high to consider harm, high frequently , consider foam. So index share has again become former so long term kind, the achievement of second line fine do not denote to mark share, it is our first selection.< p>< p/>

3^ Fund net Investigation Comment on: If appear to redeem massively to return, is that management level does not be willing to see temporarily. Can influence the steady harmony of the market of short period. So can say big fund when5000It is nearby to begin4814Count.< p>< p/>

4^ The department work member and National Development and Reform Commission of national defence issue recently jointly" some opinions about promoting satellite application industrial development". Our country will complete application satellite, serve type change from testing application type to business, establish more perfect satellite application industrial system. Comment on: The success of Chang E has seemingly given China hope, after the financing field of war industry opens , it is with more body to have mentioned satellite. Therefore mid-term is seen , should be still very hot for the investment of spaceflight , seems to add attention for the stock of spaceflight groups.< p>< p/>

5^ The second batchShare24Domestic organization Comment on: Management organization may produce article , will have enterprise fund to enter , it is not quite possible that when fund is continuously unceasing to intervene market, deep is declining. Time gains the possibility of space is larger.< p>< p/>

Now, the role of index is not great probably , we are not as good as foresight temporarily return on share or profession. Steel and Cement have become hot today. Steel is more severe as early stage falls , Cement is early stage I say that it is big to take over more possible comparison. The organization of the more rebound explanation of steel has can't restrain , after all, steel is the stock in the organization ranks of first selection still , can not be given up as bank share.< p>< p/>

We may be careful to observe65%, Chinese70%, such share actually even if the68Nearby the line< p>< p/>

Adjust in our1, the condition that index can not rise takes2, index share can not give30%, that is good opportunity. After all, organizationsQFIICan only also< p>< p/>

For the current share on hand held , suggest to5000Transfer to a lower level , but have5000It is nearby, price has no too big change. So, this time for the thing on hand do not give up easily. For partial metal shares, temporarily or to look around , after all on futures, price is more as falling.< p>< p/>

In week,< p>< p/>

The 2007-11 - 21 analysis of securities market 100 empty mountain birds break up to suit

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Have given the false appearance of a morning, Chinese petroleum suddenly rebound , let one excited and a really , but have arisen very quickly the unilateral situation that is declining. What possibility most deceive person should be metal kind of stock , Chinese aluminium field and pack first aluminium field has assaulted3%, but very quickly in big plate is declining , with green, is closing. Preceding have said with all, nonferrous metals are still not that the aluminium price on option market and the opportunity of participating is declining obviously temporarily, copper the price of today nearly falls to stop , zinc falls continuously for two days to stop , therefore short period sees that the market price of nonferrous metal will be very unstable.

See the message on

1^ Several innovation kind of securities trader begins to try through coiling independently water share finger the arbitrage of futures trade, also this kind of test of arbitrage trade has pointed at emulation market from issue to fight into spot market, them are passing relatively frequently business Hu is deep300Weight share comes Comment on: Seems next war will fire on index futures , now when the double-edged sword on our head is not only interest, expect that finger is also one. Have now again said that expect that finger has no time table, so, it has again become a means of the adjusting control of management level.

2^ Chinese3.510000 tons of diesel710000 tons11Before the Comment on: International petroleum priceAThe expression of China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation and Sinopec of the site of the stock market goes up see , today make fall down to the sign of base , estimated tomorrow should little have rebound.

3^ Wen Jiabao estimates today11.5%, and reiterate again " will avoid economy from will soon turn to overheat comparatively, will at the same time prevent price from structuralness rising becomes obvious inflation " , show that the risk that Chinese economy increases quickly been increasing , has aroused central alertness. Comment on: This leading words have intension, first explanation will determine the nature if the stock market rises again to overheat , second central government already alertness , the situation of mad rising already one does not return. 3th price has been close to the edge of obvious inflation.

4^ Chinese steel field2008Annual steel product200-300Between Yuan, expert35%. Comment on: The rising of price may alleviate the cost of short period to rise , but really, the rebound that does not hope recent steel is because is this, because of the rising of price and not explain it to produce can the increase of or management ability, is forced by cost price. So, the development of enterprise is completely passive state.< p>< p/>

From the minute14After counting , have arisen the panic of continuous three times to throw plate , this lets the possibility that I feel tomorrow rebound have increased on the contrary. Today, two board piece burdens are a plate of and more serious, one is financial share, one is petroleum petrochemical industry. From financial board piece, see that the most bank share has entered the region of safety zone today , may at any time rebound, petroleum petrochemical industry also the metal region of safety zone. So, seem that very possible short period can arise rebound tomorrow.< p>< p/>

The hot concentration002***Board piece go up, in all is the sub-new stock002144^002148Etc. conclude quantity obvious002***Have rising space still, may pay< p>< p/>

The friend of some empty storehouses002***, but to notice to will soon< p>< p/>

Cement of600449The industry and 601006Big Qin railway< p>< p/>

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Mid-term is paid attention to , is paid attention to with short period

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See on601857Chinese600028Chinese petrochemical

Additionally,600883The rich0796Precious002172Ao foreign

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Is worth for

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Bamboo branch word in experienced

Bamboo branch Free time is read concerning the anecdote of Chengdu, in which have a lot of chant Song the poem word of Chengdu. These poem words are very witty, distribution makes thick local flavor, read to make one cuddly. The author dare not enjoy alone, after special duplicate , let friends can after wine in tiny drunk thin thin play. One The poem concerning Big aunt The 2 Jiangxi Qi friend Now have " this bamboo branch word Clear end Qing Chu, Sichuan even goes through chaos caused by war, it is popular that population rapid decreasing again meets with pestilence, the distant and out of sight unmanned mark in city, brave leopard comes out for day, is leisurely on avenue to roam. According to record, at that time, whole river( include Chongqing) has population only6The person more than 10000, is still not as good as now Chengdu the population of a street office control. Under this kind of condition, Qing Ting organizes large-scale immigrant into river, so that Sichuan appearance big immigrant and big development , melt the phenomenon of remiting. " this bamboo branch word ", write is big as this kind of each province nationality migrates to melt to remit. 2 , Dozen In this How many Handicraft Prevent Ring angle Assemble Jujitsu All advocate Come on Sell each Blame to Say that In jujitsu How many Advise Lang Guarding What above-mentioned each poem is written is that Chengdu early years " hit gold Zhang ". " hit gold Zhang " beat to hit. Chengdu of early years " hit gold Zhang " at the same time hold when holding colored meeting in green sheep palace. In the memory in son, father has seen for that Zeng Dai Wo goes " hit gold Zhang ", so still remain so far in the brain for same year green sheep palace the fuzzy impression that dozen beats. What will explain is that " hit gold Zhang " may not picture the wushu performance of today. Actually, the wushu of today have become " dance technique": Establish set road in advance, it is that when having a match , contestant performs one according to the set road intended. " hit gold Zhang " movable is real shelf, claim " appear on the stage do not accept father, raise hand to see difference in degree ". It is mutual in order to prepare several amount , sees bonus( bleeding) , pours stake( pour land) , swings to fall out ( dozen falls down to or leaves ring) sentence victory or defeat, the life and death in match no matter, conceited it reproaches. To ensure safety , it is whole , forbids to dig eye and lock throat when having a match , picks Peach( grab to hold private parts ); Bleeding and pouring land and steping down and closing law( lose dozen to beat ability ) are lose completely. Do not violate above-mentioned stipulation only, contest-participating player casualty no matter. The matter of natural the dead is few still to occur , because of both sides if" dozen hairs", judge separates both sides with flag. Final winning person may get " Jin Zhang "( golden quality medal). When this at that time is the matter of honor. Taiwan goes up dozen gets flame to splash......9 religion 3 flows Unfortunately after found country, the real dozen that starts gold Zhang have disappeared gradually. The wushu match of today, with same year " life and death hit gold regardless of " " comparing with Zhang ", there is great difference really. 3, rush Entrance Little bridge Advise Lang Having turned " this bamboo branch word " write is green sheep palace " colored meeting". " spend meeting" is same year Chengdu person very important one grand meeting in one year, it is also our matter that these children most hope in those years. Each go to " colored meeting" for duration, sedan chair and chicken public vehicle , slide horse and visitor a group of squeezing like, tidewater land to the green sheep palace that is located in west suburb gush. Then, general mood is simple and honest, everybody sticks to male and female big defence, when entering the colored land of meeting place, man goes to the old entrance of the highroad, woman goes to into meeting place the another road opened recently. So, author says ," advise Lang Xiu to injure to leave , having turned to bend approach ", because after entering meeting place, may again assemble together. 4, brocade The silk Half enter This song Human world " this give flower Qing " happen Is because Chengdu I birth in Chengdu onePANG^PANGTING( Chinese Pan sound) in " loom sound grow up. The person of today the possible unimaginable Chengdu brocade of same year worker is how work hard. It is first, they foundation has no on the concept of going home from work. When do you go to work? Eat prematurely meal will go to work; When do you stop work? Day dark cannot see to do workable method just stop work. There if is not your rich home, use do not take clocks and watches. Secondly, it is the concept that has no holiday and Sunday at all. In in one year, exclude end noon , autumn and error the year of the old Chinese calendar outside in, one year hard is to accomplish New Year's Eve from the Spring Festival. A person if is engaged in this occupation, he basically if always accomplish aged continually since be an apprentice , old go up can not machine is still engaged in " alter by " and " alter latitude "( become roll go through , parallel skirts " jade son", in childhood I only one finishes the school day to do this kind of work in gang home) this kind of relatively relaxed workable method. Up to wind candle year true do do not move to free oneself. 3th works , have big strength. Most work hard is the master of loom. Right-hand man and control foot to want at the same time movement: Dual tactics alternately " lose shuttle " and control loom, two feet will cooperate with to step on beneath with both hands is a row of to have woven bamboo pole. Have steped on a certain bamboo pole, that part of corresponding parallel had been mentioned or laid aside. The apprentice who takes being spending upstairs wants the relaxed movement of master that he cooperates with somewhat only beneath, both hands mention flexible cord alternately in order to mention or lay aside another minute parallel. Teacher pupil both sides then can weave various patterns on brocade through this kind of coordination tacit agreement. The silk of old Chengdu weaves field have own profession public meeting. The profession that father attends public will be called " 3 emperor meetings". In my memory, the silk of old Chengdu weaves have a rule: Old Chengdu does silk all to weave field , breakfast is same with soybean bud, do vegetable. Some household field is done slightly , please have apprentice even helper. But no matter being helper or apprentice, having meal is with master family same table. But since Qing You of fried soybean bud is very expensive, teacher mother cannot afford , according to the words that people say then frequently, can only use the oil of 525. "525" is not , have really put Qing You of 525. Even as the old name of 162, the oil of 525 uses still not , actually," 525" is the homophonic of " brandish two dance " , is apprentice, with helper, do not satisfy few sentence complaint words that teacher mother puts and that oil is few and says. It is far that old Chengdu is away from us, what leave

Government this should not buy sheet for Health of private entrepreneur

Now under Hangzhou municipal Party committee and municipal government, having sent a file to include pass slowly to melt , Jack Ma and Li Shu Fu etc. in 150 Hangzhou private entrepreneur, accept municipal Party committee and the relevant department of municipal government every year recuperation and the special physical examination of arrangement take vacation.News spreads immediately public opinion is in an uproar , the sound of opposition is in the majority , however, there is also the sound of approval, approving person to claim opposition person is that eat not the fox of Grape because eat not Grape, just say that Grape is sour.I feel self and not is that eatIt is first, government is not Joint Stock Limited Company. What stock company carries out is that " same share with right ". As same share same right, so, there are whose stock, the speach right of who in company right to vote is many, thus the right that shareholder and little shareholder enjoy in company is impossible and equal. But government is not stock company , does not have " what same share with right ", the basic right of citizen when in front of " law same equality ", the citizen of the republic no matter tax amount, enjoy equal political right and civil right. You have delivered tax , that is basis tax law you must deliver; Civil right, you are completely equal with others as person. Think that the tax that private entrepreneur( call capitalist in the past) deliver is many , may enjoy the extra , law has no as privilege and taking care, this regards government as stock company.Buy sheet , is the one of duty of government certainly for specific Health of partial group, but its object, it is not the millionaire of upper levels just on the contrary , but is the disadvantageous group of lower levels. Buy sheet for disadvantageous group Health of lower levels, this is the one of basic duty of the door of the Ministry of Civil Affairs of government.Second, relief poor group are the responsibilities of government, its funds source has definite stipulation , is paid from the funds of civil administration. And buy sheet for Health of private entrepreneur, it funds source is since where come? Have no legal basis seemingly.It is 3th, as having not stipulated , the power that officials pay this money may be doubted. The host of country is who , is the general public; What is government official? They are the public servants of host. Government official as is public servant, so, spending the money of host to at least want have asked host talent first to act? We have not heard of what legal basis this official conducted policy of Hangzhou city has , having not also heard of have gotten the approval of the National People's Congress, seem them have regarded as self the host of Hangzhou; As being host, the money in this pocket how to spend , so long as self has said.I have written a article , call " public銆€銆€

In network tort case, website has responsibility

In network tort " last12Month,ZCR200612Send God model book on Chengdu certain website forum, claim that it is rear that self encounters injury, certain county judicial vice-president force protects murderer. Dose son have left finally the true full name and identification card and contact sent dose person No. Telephone yard. But when vice-president accepts reporter Telephone interview yesterday, claims , in fact is not dose son say so, he prepares to indict website. " This above words draw from today " Chengdu evening What I will discuss with you here is that if vice-president really excludes by tort, for happening , it is outside that dose person litigates , he can be also website defendant? My view whether decide. As well known, so-called civil tort must at the same time have 4 following conditions. This 4 conditions are the necessary condition that says in logistics , 4 conditions must at the same time have , lack any a tort behavior can not set up. This 4 conditions are: 1^ Damaged 2^ Behavior 3^ There is relation 4^ Behavior person Following we analyse It is first, website publishes this dose son and vice-president, have relation between cause and effect by tort? My individual thinks that does not exist. Website publishes this article , causes vice-president not to form the relation between cause and effect on law by a condition of tort merely. For the difference that explains "condition" and "relation between cause and effect" , here as soon as trying to lift , it is regular. Certain long-distance Car driver breaks regulations to operate , turning Car open to fall enter river. The river urgent wave of Reclaimed water is high , causes several person to drown. The family members of the dead for Car driver litigates at the same time, is not may also list as river water defendant, say if your is Juan Juan flow carefully, why can our kinsfolk drown? Natural this is a joke, who will not also list as river water defendant, because river is a condition in this accident only , and can not form the relation between cause and effect on law. Manage together, vice-president in quilt tort incident, I think that the behavior of website also forms a condition of tort merely , and does not form the relation between cause and effect on law. It is second, website when subjective go up whether existent fault? I think whether answer is also decided. Think nation-wide countless website, daily website goes up do not know to publish how many dose sons, how many rich guests article, follow model book , even more do not sum its number. For the article like these tidewaters, can website carry out examination verification one by one? Is impossible certainly. Taking vice-president incident as example, author goes to article hair after website , must organize people in advance if stipulating website to carry out investigation for the both sides of involved party , is for related material evidence , book certificate and witness testimony , audiovisual information , Kan examine report etc. to carry out item-by-item verification , after reaching conclusion, then can decide whether publish the article of this author, is this possible? If website does not allow to publish the article of author, whether may author mention appeal? And this what organization comes to try the appeal of author? Talk about now well just, we already may find out , think that net preceding text Zhang the interests that has harmed self , is also litigating for author while litigating for website , it has unrealistic amount. Will be really so, the website of whole country goes up forum only close perhaps completely with rich guest. Website can only reprint the report of traditional media. If so, do you still want website dry what? Similar lawsuit has not arisen a, past also many appearance Occur network tort how to handle? I think that should carry out " author's responsibility conceited ", the fact stated in article that website publishes for netizen whether is true, do not agree picul examination responsibility; Naturally when netizen and involved party occur dispute, website also does not agree picul joint liability. Is natural, say above, it is for the examination of fact part only. As obvious start a rumor , abuse and personal attack speech, there are responsibility to delete in website. As to wrong politicalness speech , there are the duty of examination more in website. Replenish a sentence again: Me knows for law

Force day: Have is what to level on the contrary?

Allegedly the playwright of a gang in river will write for force day reverses a verdict TV play. This news, let me very much feel puzzled: The force in history, in day, has the what case that may fall out? Claim to reverse a verdict , denote the wrong that person has suffered not in vain , will so wash wrong song for it, it is pure to return it. As reverse a verdict for military , it is that the military in history has suffered what wrong song? However, think to think that feel still that history is fair for the appraisement of military , the place that pawns invariably. For example is not have person to say that have signed after military with foreign country like Empress Dowager Ci Xi to cut land the unequal treaty of indemnity; Or stone respects Tang so, when emperor, sweet do than the own contract of little 11 years old" son emperor" of red Ye Lu De? Have no. Compatriots unanimously thinks that in military week period, Chinese national power is prosperous and powerful, territory still enlarges , so, this strip can not set up. So is not have person to say that48Year28Year not last dynasty hears Zheng? Also have no. The ability of past dynasties of runing the country of consistent high appraisement military. The military week loyal sight of former Cheng-Li-Shi-Min after treat , start Li Long Ji open first flourishing age, is one is rarely run the country clear monarch, its great talent and bold vision is that many male emperor is hard to hope its back. Actually, compatriots is for the negative appraisement of military , complete is because of her from a palace yard bottom in " just person " the process of the empress emperor that climbs until power smoked day, slaughter is too heavy: Each climb upward one step will have many head to be born. But this can calculate the fault of military?Reviewing,It is not to go through?Take force father-in-law Li Shi Min,He is"Unreliable", have killed the long crown prince of elder brother Li establish just seize imperial throne with Qi-Wang-Li-Yuan-Ji. This is feudal system makes Ran, whom is emperor, do not be not as good as this. The change of a mature modern political system and power is ordinary and ordinary. America is16Ren the president Lin would, family background is poor and lowly and low , but lean self have entered the White House with great efforts, become liberation dark Nu hero. After the president leaves the post , or compose book end to study , or manage farming village home, people feel that are very normal. However, feudal dynasty is different. That feudal dynasty dragon chair is the personal ware of individual , revolves around this dragon chair, in Chinese feudal social history always puting on the stage never is bloody as answering a curtain call to slaughter , only force comes in day compared with the fight person of others imperial throne its means are more harsh. But this can not blame force day, is she located condition and position force her have to this. Force day in a palace " just person ", to be emperor to first want, have to cancel crown prince to get ( lean old emperor Li Shi Min can't be ). However this first step she has met the obstacle that is hard to exceed. Force day is too emperor Li Shi Min( Li the father that treats ) " just person ". According to Tang system, after emperor may have one, 4 princesses, 9 clear instruments and 9s Jie Yu , 4 beauties and 5s just person. Military though is grade minimum just person, but after all is too the spouse, Li the multitudinous mother that treats. Force is to commit incest in day if wanting to seduce crown prince. Though when too after dies , force day so as arrive to feel grateful temple " become a monk " make to cover , but commit incest this Cap can't also flee in any case for her. Luo guest king says her in " is respect work slowly to demand force Xi " "Past serves as display too under , have so as change clothes to enter to wait upon. Ji Hu integrity in later years, dirty confused spring palace. Qian Yin first emperor is personal, overcast Tu-Hou-Fang-Zhi-Bi." this does Military leans her " introduction sees Ji,In keep with one's wish when go up Li the clear instrument treated ( rear liter is Chen princess). But even so, is away from " empress emperor" goal is also very much distant. She first want do, is when rear palace in compete to spoil numerous Pin princess steps on is under foot , it is again useless to lose empress , mounts the throne of empress by oneself. Military just little examination ox knife, have shown her outstanding ability. It has been said that Zhu Ge lights , " husband is will, there will be belly heart , information and underlings ". Military has accomplished this easily, in entire palace, it is her information everywhere , for any move of hand, she understands thoroughly , no matter doing what conspiracy, somebody helps her to speak. Military again uses to suit Zong even horizontal technique, first joint king empress has rooted out competitor Xiao Shu Fei , catches again using to frame the method of framing up abandons king empress, self has mounted this empress throne. Capture the location of empress, she stint no effort to even pinch personally to die own own daughter so as marry misfortune competitor. Abandon after compete is actually a bloody political struggle. In this struggle, she has not only won , and has still pulled down many old subject of too emperor additionally , has cleared away the first batch of competitor to be empress afterwards. In quilt the unlucky egg that she pulls down , it is most miserable to calculate king empress and Xiao Shu Fei. Two persons quilt force life person whips it each 100, cut the two feet of both hands again in, put into wine platform soak die. Will you ask if having person that military treats14Son in, what most inherit imperial throne probably is that crown prince frequently Qian, 4 sons are safe, treat with 9 sons. Frequently Qian and is safe to compete the location of crown prince, both sides already tendency same fire and water, which win opposite side absolutely has no physiology. Too would not see same year " unreliable military door change " recur in own children and grandchildren, have so selected residence heart kernel thick extremely weakness and have no definite view treat to be crown prince. Too emperor thinks , only so, talent avoids sons slaughter mutually; Li treat is though weak, but have Chu satisfy is good , eldest grandson has no fear the assistance of this group of minister, there will not be big trouble. Chu satisfy is good , eldest grandson has no the persons such as fear also very much want Li treat to be crown prince , because of them would not that rascal frequently Qian when emperor, more would not its great talent and bold vision like Li Shi Min safe sit on dragon chair. If being so, after them, do not control emperor very much. Chu the then good opinion of etc. person does not have no reason, however, they have not thought of absolutely, Li treat behind that force is so and severe in day. Li treat will go up emperor after dies too. However this one Li treat is not only weak again have no definite view, also body situation extreme difference, commit more have serious have a headache , can not often assume office. Plenty of play to fold can only is handled in day by force. Gradually, in dynasty, major event is said by military finally. Along with Li Shi Min old subject force wipe out gradually, the power quick expansion of military gets up. After Li treat to die , force has been emperor with undoubtedly logical day, and it is "week" to alter dynasty title. To here, military is to have succeeded in other words. But she knows clearly, she is one outside surname person usurps the regime of Li Tang, whole country about disobey extremely, thus must carry out the terroristic policy of high voltage very much, so as this establishment self absolute authority. Under this kind of condition, her application on a class cool official style. Zhu Ge bright Zeng Yao Liu in " make teacher table " rear God " kiss virtuous subject, far villain ". And military is to kiss virtuous subject , also kisses villain. Kiss virtuous subject wait as Di Ren Jie, it is to administer country for her; And since kissing , the villains of a gang such as handsome subject are to deal with political opponent , set up own absolute authority. Come this group of handsome subject villain is to be all right to look for a job formerly, without wind, will also develop 3 rulers of wave. When force the urge of day takes off , this group of person has developed persecution slaughter to reach the peak of perfection land extent. Certain person only Pie a next mouth, with them, have become libel imperial government; Certain person has sent few sentences complaint only, with them, have become to vainly attempt to conspire against the state. Prisoner would not confess? They have plenty of method. One is collective false accuse, bribe the informer of a gang , claim unanimously that certain person will conspire against the state; 2 is cruel torture extorts a confession. Come for example handsome subject big Jia have 10 kinds , is called " decide 100 pulses ", " pant must not ", " suddenly roar ", " compose Cheng ", " lose soul gall bladder ", " really turn over together ", " turn over is really ", " die pig worries ", " beg to die " and " ask for broken home ", its name sounds very terroristic. Come besides the persons such as more creation is invented , ifLink the trick of person with rafter string , and then is called to a direction spin " phoenix suns wing "; Again fix the waist of person if using thing, will neck Jia pull forward on the contrary, is called " donkey colt pulls out to stick up "; Some let one kneel when on the ground, when Jia go up base tile, is called " immortal offers fruit "; Some let one upright when Gao Mu estrade goes up , pull neck from behind go up Jia, is called " jade woman mounts ladder "; Some pour person to hang , on head, hang stone, it is some to fill nostril with vinegar, it is some to live in head with iron trap , tacks wedge between head and iron circle. Since having prisoner every time, let them watch first to the exhibition room of instruments of torture. Prisoners have seen that two legs shiver , cold sweat is emited directly, it is spiritual to collapse , again pure person is also well-behaved to plead guilty. Any person once the hand that falls into this group of cool official , absolutely have no physiology , it is bloody that whole country fills everywhere and terror. And focal point and the object of slaughter put in the descendant of Li Shi. Come only handsome subject a person, break Li Shi clan home more than 1000. The subjects dynasty on morning will be parted with household, if be able to return into home in the evening, rejoice and live a day. In the atmosphere of this flat terror, the dominance After military regime strengthens completely, come the persons such as handsome subject the task of this group of falcon and hound has been completed. What current military needs is that Xiang and stabilization. However this group of falcon and hound so abandons true unfortunately, they still have final advantage. The end of this group of cool official, happen to reflect certificate " with its person say to treat its person to " this sentence old saying. The first have bad luck is used in the copper informed against Gui inventor fish dynasty kindness. Copper Gui after manufacture comes out , the first report letter of input is to inform against fish dynasty kindness, say that he creates weapon to respect work slowly. Fish dynasty kindness has become the copper of own invention Gui first victim. What second has bad luck is week mood. Somebody informs against week mood to conspire against the state , what had been sent to try this case is that come handsome subject. Come handsome subject please develop in week to have meal. Wine error 3 Xun, does he ask for advice very sincerely to week mood to say that prisoner would not confess , does not know what good way benevolent elder brother has? Week mood says that this is still not simple, my method is to seek a big jar , puts prisoner in jar , the load charcoal of four weeks has roast temperature, he still has the what that does not recruit. Come handsome subject order all these after Bei even just take the imperial edict of military , say that there is person to accuse you to conspire against the state , sage goes up style I come to interrogate you , now, big jar has been prepared , ask monarch to enter jar. " ask monarch to enter jar" this idiom come from this allusion. Rope Yuan courtesy die is also so. What have been sent to interrogate him is also his old friend. Rope Yuan the method that courtesy interrogation prisoner uses frequently is to put on a iron Cap to prisoner, again wedge a root enters , split till the brains of prisoner. Does old friend ask deeply concernedly that he will put on iron Cap to you? Rope Yuan courtesy busy say that need not not use. Result rope Yuan courtesy same year dies in prison. Finally a cool official comes handsome subject executes openly. The Japan that executes , Luo 10000 positive persons empty lane, come to see the end of this vicious executioner. Come the head of handsome subject just one is born , citizens convenient bee gushes to fight for his corpse forward between, instantly come handsome subject becomes the mud of a pile. Afterwards Luo positive city people rejoices land say that may sleep tonight at last smooth and steadily sleep. This group of cool official a has died , may military can earn the good name of " do not practice favoritism ". Right now military has achieved what one wishes land the peak that has reached career. Unfortunately is along with the increase of age, puzzle the successor of feudal rulers problem has also put at last to her in front of. Male emperor is easy to do, stand a own son for crown prince trip , may for force day, its sex has decided that she will inevitably be faced with male emperor to be impossible the difficult condition met. Force has 3 kinds of choice in It is first, she may as others male emperor, stand own own son is crown prince. Will however know son surname Li, in blood vessel, flow out the blood of Li Jia. And it is wild that the progeny of Li Jia gets corpse horizontal time by her slaughter. After she dies , son will stand in which one side? As soon as thinking of here, she is terrifying. Certainly, she may grant son surname, is military, may who knows this complete have no use deceive person acrobatics. It is second, she may stand the son of the certain brother of parents' home is crown prince, may such one comes , future emperor is the offspring of others, her is the aunt of emperor, innumerable hardships the base field achieved has given others. It is 3th, she may transfer imperial throne daughter. May this does not become more. Woman in big not reserve , daughter no matter is to marry to A Mao A and dog, their son can only follow son-in-law surname , then, does her grandmother calculate what? The time in this difficulty, If say Li Shi, children and grandchildren are cicadas, force is mantis in day, so, Di Ren Jie is the siskin behind mantis. With recovery Li Tang is Ji Di Ren Jie that takes the charge of realizes have not used with military positive conflict, she has gotten the confidence of military ingeniously , becomes the first heavy subject of military dynasty. Di Ren Jie has been completed before the death to recover Li Tang Suo must careful arrangement, have compiled recovery Li Tang the drama of dynasty, have chosen all actors, arrive as soon as waiting for opportunity only, the gong and drum that begins may knock sound. In the upright process of storing up , the suggestion of Di Ren Jie has played the role of deciding. Di Ren Jie says for force in day that your upright own son is crown prince, so, you are the mother of emperor, the future matches to enjoy too temple is of course; If have stood , the future generations of military is crown prince, will so come you can only do not come the aunt of emperor, may never hear of that there is emperor to be aunt upright temple. This words since have moved force at heart day, she may do not think to do unmanned offer sacrifices to gods lemures wild ghost. So, have obeied the words of Di Ren Jie, stand own son the future generations of Li Jia is crown prince. So Li Tang the restoration of dynasty, have walked out of barrier bond; One step of key As years pass , military has been old and is ill and heavy , is hard to assume office. The opportunity of recovery Li Tang has ripened. Prime Minister Zhang Jian Zhi that Di Ren Jie recommends decides to rise in rebellion resolutely. It is succeeded completely that entire coup has used half hour only. The persons such as Zhang Jian Zhi mention Zhang Zong Chang , the head of beautiful elder brother of this two military favors of Zhang Yi comes to see force day, name 2 conspire against the state have bent to kill. Old military has had no way out , has to trust to luck. Thereafter, striking come one after another. Recover first in the Tang Dynasty , follow the hometown after force to again alter to return old name, the future generationses of Xiao Shu Fei and king empress receive purpose to abandon to go it is military that the rear malignant "boa" that grants recovers this surname with " Xiao ". More spoil is May, Zu Miao after force has been deprived the title of " too temple ", after force, the rank of nobility of ancestors had been deprived. It is in 26 days of this annual November , a sad cold winter Japan, force dies alone in day houses arrest. Before death before she leaves last words, remit king empress and Xiao Shu Fei , Chu then good etc. die in the old subject that she persecutes ( eldest grandson has no the officer of fear Jue recover long ago). She still leaves last words: Go emperor number and name empress , bury Qian tomb, return to husband side. And life person leaves to have no word stele , lets merit but comment rely on future generations. Evidently force goes to dead brains have sober ten point. This text is final, feel have a must write , that claim force day " promiscuous ". History goes up always force is called as one in day Yin woman. I feel that this is true and not fair. Historical any male emperor is not 3 6 palace courtyards, " rear palace Jia Li 3000 persons ", 3000 some beauties are still not enough , still is broad in whole country to put palace for short stays, the beauty in palace for short stays mostly lifelong also must not " Cheng rain and dew ", have not been also passed to death by " emperor good fortune " one time. Force has spoilt some limited men only in day to spoil. Even if she as emperor, can only still steal unexpectedly feel , if first man spoils bosom instrument, to be able to often come in and go out imperial palace, can only become a monk to be monk( others male inconvenient discrepancy imperial palace, monk may). Actually force day even if is broad to choose healthy male 3000, seting up in rear palace enjoy slowly , also claim that not last what is promiscuous, because isn't others male emperor which one so? " is the head of what Buddhist nun, monk feels, AfghanQMustn't you feel? " secondly, force knows the difference of state affairs and privacy very much in day. As bosom instrument finds favour , in arrogance smoked day, nobody puts in vision. This one big monk wants to go to military accommodation from front door of imperial palace into palace, in door takes off province to wait upon Su Liang Si calls to him to salute , bosom instrument packs unexpectedly to do have not seen. Su Liang Si big anger, make subordinate will its palm 10 some mouthes. Bosom instrument backward military complains tearfully , military smile say that you should not come in from front door originally Ma. Between national legal system and personal resentment, military is very much sober , she is impossible to have hurt national legal system for personal relationship , so shake the foundation that she rules. This is strong and many compared with the most male emperors. For example, open up open Li Long Ji of first flourishing age, since spoil poplar the sister of elder brother, have caused the disorder of An Shi, also make Tang empire from turn greatly to decline. It is insidious, cruel , lonely and