2007年11月24日星期六

The 2007-11 - 21 analysis of securities market 100 empty mountain birds break up to suit

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Have given the false appearance of a morning, Chinese petroleum suddenly rebound , let one excited and a really , but have arisen very quickly the unilateral situation that is declining. What possibility most deceive person should be metal kind of stock , Chinese aluminium field and pack first aluminium field has assaulted3%, but very quickly in big plate is declining , with green, is closing. Preceding have said with all, nonferrous metals are still not that the aluminium price on option market and the opportunity of participating is declining obviously temporarily, copper the price of today nearly falls to stop , zinc falls continuously for two days to stop , therefore short period sees that the market price of nonferrous metal will be very unstable.

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1^ Several innovation kind of securities trader begins to try through coiling independently water share finger the arbitrage of futures trade, also this kind of test of arbitrage trade has pointed at emulation market from issue to fight into spot market, them are passing relatively frequently business Hu is deep300Weight share comes Comment on: Seems next war will fire on index futures , now when the double-edged sword on our head is not only interest, expect that finger is also one. Have now again said that expect that finger has no time table, so, it has again become a means of the adjusting control of management level.

2^ Chinese3.510000 tons of diesel710000 tons11Before the Comment on: International petroleum priceAThe expression of China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation and Sinopec of the site of the stock market goes up see , today make fall down to the sign of base , estimated tomorrow should little have rebound.

3^ Wen Jiabao estimates today11.5%, and reiterate again " will avoid economy from will soon turn to overheat comparatively, will at the same time prevent price from structuralness rising becomes obvious inflation " , show that the risk that Chinese economy increases quickly been increasing , has aroused central alertness. Comment on: This leading words have intension, first explanation will determine the nature if the stock market rises again to overheat , second central government already alertness , the situation of mad rising already one does not return. 3th price has been close to the edge of obvious inflation.

4^ Chinese steel field2008Annual steel product200-300Between Yuan, expert35%. Comment on: The rising of price may alleviate the cost of short period to rise , but really, the rebound that does not hope recent steel is because is this, because of the rising of price and not explain it to produce can the increase of or management ability, is forced by cost price. So, the development of enterprise is completely passive state.< p>< p/>

From the minute14After counting , have arisen the panic of continuous three times to throw plate , this lets the possibility that I feel tomorrow rebound have increased on the contrary. Today, two board piece burdens are a plate of and more serious, one is financial share, one is petroleum petrochemical industry. From financial board piece, see that the most bank share has entered the region of safety zone today , may at any time rebound, petroleum petrochemical industry also the metal region of safety zone. So, seem that very possible short period can arise rebound tomorrow.< p>< p/>

The hot concentration002***Board piece go up, in all is the sub-new stock002144^002148Etc. conclude quantity obvious002***Have rising space still, may pay< p>< p/>

The friend of some empty storehouses002***, but to notice to will soon< p>< p/>

Cement of600449The industry and 601006Big Qin railway< p>< p/>

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