Looking back to see at 3400 o'clock guard at 5000 o'clock, do not guard

Today, do you fill pessimistic mood in market? Do not go to 1E+11 close the business have aggravated this kind of pessimism stretch , at 5000 o'clock, do you guard? Various opinions. Ask some persons today, including some fund managers , have to say that 4500 has to say 4800 , certainly, somebody also thinks that guards at 5000 o'clock , but one of my old colleague is now the personal friend that imitates to say go to that is that I meet biggest gall bladder at 3000 o'clock, most rich one of imagination foresees.

In fact, are needs these to foresee? Do you do not need? Because it is unreliable to have forecast, even if have foreseen that you can not also go to carry out basically, as if I foresee at the beginning of September that in this year, quotations finishes at 6000 o'clock, time should be November in October is the same, now, seems foresee that allow disastrous , but have no how many meanings still for realistic operation.

But we will foresee still, forecast this

I before today describes rich guest, return have seen one to take off me June the rich guest that writes until August, discovering at that time also is as at 3400 o'clock view diverge very much, the time until the beginning of July, also have only hundreds of 100000000s close the business , up to 10 July few numbers, concerning a very close organization with me still say that have very strong support at 2800 one. The big plate of July 25 breaks through at 4300 o'clock. The most of organizations see mistake.

At that time I in rich guest relapse mentions have seen base at 3400 o'clock. Why? Actually, reason is not complex , though low-priced share is slumping , but the appearances such as bank share rise in turn, they do not be declining , why can big plate fall deeply? Write a article at that time "Financial share rises" so simple reason

But adjust this time at 5000 o'clock after all how to, break at 5000 o'clock is decided by what? Than 5.30, that some complex but a plate of rises fall or should be decided by big stock, low-priced share already by the waist rear beginning rebound in , letter bond has fallen 24 Yuan , China Merchants Bank has fallen 8 Yuan , they can still fall amount coils whether stand firm at 5000 o'clock barrier bond; Key has taken the 23% of Shanghai composite index, especially Sinopec, its rise falls may decide basically at 5000 o'clock gain and loss, so in, if letter bond is declining again to 80, if Sinopec falls to wear 35 Yuan , enters the words of the space of 30 to 35 Yuan, so guard at 5000 o'clock do not live.

Can Sinopec fall to wear 35? Biggest advantage leaves empty is American recession and according to storm have sunk to sink? Biggest advantage has risen 3 U.S. dollars well in price yesterday that is petroleum , reaches 98. My trend is that 35 Yuan can not break , can be guarded at 5000 o'clock, even if guard do not live , can not also break amount.

Perhaps is buttocks decision

Actually, Chinese the stock market is returned in the morning well, receiving Hong Kong's share in the afternoon slump burden just collapse , haven't you been so fearful? Pitiful the stock market of Hong Kong is not only influenced by A share and beautiful share, today, Japanese the stock market and Yen set breath have also hit it , America has not fallen yesterday, does this market take dry what? Have better to close calculate.